The "Third China" in the 21st Century

Previous Articles

President Reagan's Sixth Assurance to Taiwan

June 13, 2016
Taipei Times


The bedrock of the ‘six assurances’

By John Tkacik  / 

Half a 'consensus' is worse than none: just what was the "1992 Consensus"?

May 28, 2016
Taipei Times

Half a ‘consensus’ worse than none


By John J. Tkacik  /

Sat, May 28, 2016 - Page 8




May 25, 2016

The attached .pdf is a photocopy of a Chronology of Formosan History from 605 a.d. to 1942 prepared in 1943 at the U.S. Department of State. I recovered it from the National Archives files of the Office of Chinese Affairs at the State Department.  While it is over 30 pages long and reflects dated research, it remains a fascinating summary of the island's history from ancient times through the Japanese colonial period and should prove invaluable to all scholars of Taiwan's history.


Power Transition in Asia: China’s rise, America’s “Pivot” and Taiwan’s Choice

January 1, 2015
The 2014 International Symposium on “U.S Presence in Asia and Regional Peace and Security”


How to win a Wargame in the Taiwan Strait

November 5, 2014
China Business Intelligence

… First, assume US fighters have a 100% kill rate, and Chinese fighters have a 0% kill rate . . .  Oops!  We still lose.


China's e-commerce gunrunners

November 4, 2014
Financial Times

Comment: I would take this article more seriously if Xinjiang separatists ever managed to get small arms ... until then, I can't see that it's a real problem for the Public Security Ministry...


Is China challenging the Bretton Woods system?

October 30, 2014
Financial Times

Comment:  I recommend you read the Financial Times article ... I personally believe Beijing's grand design of an RMB-zone to balance (if not eclipse) the Dollar-Zone is closer than the FT thinks, and much more certain.  And if you "want an order based on law, not on crude power", you'll have to confront China because that's not what China wants.


China's Middle Class

October 21, 2014
The Washington Post
Comment:  An illuminating datapoint for those interested in understanding China...
The entire article is at 


2007 - China's Crown Princeling

September 24, 2014
Wall Street Journal Asia Friday-Sunday October 26 - 28, 2007

Who is Xi Jinping? It’s possibly the most important question in China today. At the 17th Party Congress, Mr. Xi was made head of the Party secretariat to the Standing Committee of the Politburo— which puts him in pole position to lead China when Hu Jintao steps down from the presidency in 2012. And if all goes to plan, he’ll be a far more powerful leader than Mr. Hu.

2002 - Hu's Hostility to the U.S.

September 24, 2014
The Wall Street Journal Asia


FROM THE ARCHIVES: April 29, 2002 


Hu's Hostility to the U.S.




Sort Previous Articles

For more information

For more information or to schedule a speaking engagement, please use our Contact form.

Mailing Address:
1307 Westgrove Blvd.
Alexandria, Virginia 22307

Phone Number: