The "Third China" in the 21st Century


Taiwan's "Unsettled" International Status: Preserving U.S. Options in the Pacific

June 19, 2008

Ma Ying-jeou, inaugurated as Taiwan's new president on May 20, 2008, has pledged to strengthen Taiwan's economic and political relationships with China. At the same time, he has good reason to preserve Taiwan's separate identity, and the U.S. has good reason to support him.

US China Relations—Strategic Partner or Strategic Competitor? And the Challenges of Chinese Intelligence

July 30, 2007
Joint Counterintelligence Academy

Presented to the Joint Counterintelligence Academy
July 30, 2007

John J. Tkacik, Jr.

US China Relations—Strategic Partner or Strategic Competitor? And the Challenges of Chinese Intelligence

China’s Current Domestic Affairs-- Overview:

The Emerging Chinese Communist Superpower

Has the Next Great Leader of North Korea Been Announced?

October 24, 2008

Has the Next Great Leader of North Korea Been Announced?

October 24th, 2008

I. Introduction

The following are comments on the editorial "Has the Next Great Leader of North Korea Been Announced?” by Rudiger Frank. John J. Tkacik, Jr, is the Senior Research Fellow in Asian Studies at the Heritage Foundation. Rudiger Frank is a Professor of East Asian Economy and Society and Vice Director of the East Asian Institute at the University of Vienna.


Zimbabwe’s Enabler: How Chinese Arms Keep Mugabe in Power

July 16, 2008

by Brett Schaefer and John Tkacik, Jr. 

China: Wealthy State, Strong Army -- and a Powerful Party

September 23, 2008

For over a decade, China's industrial and military strength has expanded with breathtaking speed. As one economist succinctly noted, China's economic growth "is losing its capacity to shock . . . however astonishing it would be elsewhere."[1]

Mongolia's Current Political Situation: Implications for the OSCE

July 31, 2008
US Congressional Commission on the OSCE

I know that the members of the Commission on Security and Cooperation in Europe are serious observers of Eurasian events and that you are con­cerned about the direction of Mongolia's democracy after the June 29, 2008, parliamentary election. I, too, am concerned. Mongolia was once thought of as a vast but isolated Central Asian desert with little relevance to the strategic interests of metropolitan Europe or East Asia. And, indeed, as recently as a quarter-centu­ry ago, that was a valid view.

The Senkakus: Clear signal needed on disputed isles

June 27, 2008

In March 2004, the last time controversy over the Senkaku (Diaoyutai) islands surfaced, the US State Department affirmed that the United States Mutual Security Treaty with Japan covered the islands.

Will Europe arm Red China?

March 25, 2004
National Review Online

A bitter dispute over election results is bad enough. But Taiwan's troubles - and ours - may be just beginning.

The reason: Our European allies might well approve plans to sell China advanced weaponry at the March 25-26 European Union summit that begins today.

The repercussions would be disastrous. Not only could China use new weapons from Europe against Taiwan, but Chinese generals have said they're prepared to confront U.S. forces in the Pacific if America tries to help Taiwan.

Whose One China?

June 16, 2004
National Review Online

Shaven-headed Deputy Secretary of State Richard Armitage has the imposing physique of a professional wrestler and is not usually pestered by inquisitive foreign reporters. But on May 18, two Chinese-language television crews stood in his way as he emerged from a Senate hearing room after a grilling on the administration's strategy in Iraq. Rather than barrel through the wall of microphones, betacams, and floodlamps, one of the Chinese reporters told me later, the burly deputy secretary stopped.

Mongolia's Giant Steppe for Democracy

July 9, 2004
The Wall Street Journal Asia

Democracy in Asia has been full of irony of late. Last week, up to half a million people took to the streets in Hong Kong to protest China's decision that one of the world's most modern cities is still not ready for democracy. Meanwhile the predominantly pastoral population of formerly Communist Mongolia reveled in their democratic freedoms by voting in the country's eighth general election since 1990.

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