The "Third China" in the 21st Century

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China's 'peaceful' rise at stake in power struggle

September 8, 2004
The Asia Times

 China's 'peaceful' rise at stake in power struggle
Published on September 8, 2004 by John Tkacik, Jr. and John Tkacik

China's 'S&M' journal goes too far on Kore

September 1, 2004
Asia Times

China hands in Washington have been abuzz in the past week with rumors that Beijing was preparing a policy shift on North Korea. But American, Korean and Japanese policymakers shouldn't think China is on the verge of altering its unbending support for North Korea simply because recently a well-meaning Chinese economist, Wang Zhongwen, managed to publish a thoughtful piece on Beijing's misguided North Korea policies. Alas, it was not to be, although teasing the truth from the hype takes a little work.

China's Power Struggle by the Sea

August 19, 2004
The Asian Wall Street Journal

When China's Xinhua news agency published an adulatory report of a conference at the seaside resort of Beidaihe on August 5, [1] I was puzzled. Chinese Communist Party General Secretary Hu Jintao had banned these meetings as a waste of money and time - they were boondoggles. And China's media (at least the press that wasn't totally in the control of the Central Propaganda Department) praised President Hu's policy as a "populist measure in support of good government" (qinmin qinglian).

James R. Lilley - China Hands: Nine Decades of Adventure, Espionage, and Diplomacy in Asia

July 15, 2004
The Heritage Foundation


China Hands: Nine Decades of Adventure, Espionage, and Diplomacy in Asia
July 15, 2004

Ambassador James R. Lilley

Hosted by:
Larry M. Wortzel, Ph.D.
Vice President for International Studies,
The Heritage Foundation

China's New Challenge to the U.S.-Japan Alliance

July 13, 2004


As Chinese warships and naval survey vessels ply Japanese waters hoping to stake their claim to potentially gas-rich seabeds, the United States is sending mixed signals to Japan on the U.S.-Japan alliance. Ambiguity in Washington may undermine Japanese confidence in the alliance-in itself, a major strategic goal for Beijing. Washington must now publicly support Japan, our most important ally in Asia, if it hopes to deter China from further adventurism in Japan's Exclusive Economic Zone.

Provocative Behavior

Mongolia's Giant Steppe for Democracy

July 9, 2004
The Wall Street Journal Asia

Democracy in Asia has been full of irony of late. Last week, up to half a million people took to the streets in Hong Kong to protest China's decision that one of the world's most modern cities is still not ready for democracy. Meanwhile the predominantly pastoral population of formerly Communist Mongolia reveled in their democratic freedoms by voting in the country's eighth general election since 1990.

Needed: High-level Contacts between U.S. and Taiwan MilitaryCommanders

June 18, 2004

In March 1996, when Chinese ballistic missiles were splashing into waters off Taiwan's two major ports-closing the heavily-traveled Taiwan Strait to international maritime traffic for days-the Clinton Administration sent two carrier task forces to the vicinity to persuade Beijing to quiet things down. But none of the commanders on those American ships had ever done contingency consulting with Taiwan defense officials. Nor did they have secure communication links to Taiwan's navy.

Taiwan's Election Changes the Context of U.S.-Taiwan Relations

June 16, 2004
Apple Daily - Taipei

Most observers in Washington believe that President Chen Shui-bian's victory in the March 20 election will be sustained through the recounts and the independent investigation into the assassination attempt and official Washington is now coming to the realization that his victory marks a dramatic turning-point in Taiwan's history. It also presents American policy makers with a new context for the United States' relationship with Taiwan.

Whose One China?

June 16, 2004
National Review Online

Shaven-headed Deputy Secretary of State Richard Armitage has the imposing physique of a professional wrestler and is not usually pestered by inquisitive foreign reporters. But on May 18, two Chinese-language television crews stood in his way as he emerged from a Senate hearing room after a grilling on the administration's strategy in Iraq. Rather than barrel through the wall of microphones, betacams, and floodlamps, one of the Chinese reporters told me later, the burly deputy secretary stopped.

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